Ukraine in Crisis: The Economic and Security Consequences for European Union, Ukraine and Russia

EU has to find a way to effectively engage with Russia, facilitate Ukraine’s progressive reforms, prepare for long lasting political and financial commitment to Ukraine and at the same time strictly demand fulfilment of the agreement reached in Minsk. (PDF) Marek Lenč, Martin Kudrec

Attitudes towards European Integration in EaP States: Significance of Elites’ Commitment

The paper examines how the cooperation with the EU has been influencing public sector, legal and economic reforms in EU’s Eastern neighbourhood by means of engaging the local political elites. The developments in Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine, as well as the situation in Armenia, regarding the perspective for its further participation in the Eastern Partnership, are reviewed. (PDF) Armen Grigoryan

Armenia-Iran vs. Azerbaijan-Israel: Where is Russia?

The South Caucasus region has been seeing polarization as Armenia-Iran vs. Azerbaijan-Israel. The visits by Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu to Baku, Azerbaijan, and Iranian President Hassan Rouhani to Yerevan, Armenia in December, 2016 are indicative of the polarization. Where is Russia, the elephant in the room? What are the implications of the polarization for Russia? (PDF) Rahim Rahimov

Dodon’s visit to Transnistria: Russian-Backed Model for Protracted Conflicts Settlement?

It is highly unlikely that Russia will allow Transnistria again back into Moldova even if the latter accepts closer cooperation with Russia and/or integration with Russia-led organizations. However, Dodon’s policy towards Transnistria could be considered in Moscow as a favourable model for other protracted conflicts settlement. (PDF) Rusif Huseynov

Armenia and Russia Pursue Joint Military Forces

The Russo-Armenian agreement on establishing a joint military unit, which will include troops of the 102nd Russian military base stationed near Yerevan as well as the 4th Corps of the Armenian Army, predictably caused anxiety in Azerbaijan and Georgia. While a potential deterioration of relations with Georgia would undermine Armenia’s national interests, the government in Yerevan appears willing to make this sacrifice in the name of regime reproduction and survival. (PDF) Armen Grigoryan

Belarus: Situation In the Field of National Security and Defense as of October 2016

At the CSTO summit in Yerevan, Belarus took the chairmanship in this organisation; the CSTO Collective Security Strategy till 2025 was adopted. During his visit to Poland, Vladimir Makey said that Belarus did not consider the extension of NATO presence in the Baltic states and Poland as a direct threat. In Washington, a joint statement on cooperation between the Ministries of Defense of Belarus and the United States was signed, as well as the bilateral military cooperation plan for 2017. (PDF) Andrei Porotnikov