Armenia-Iran vs. Azerbaijan-Israel: Where is Russia?

The South Caucasus region has been seeing polarization as Armenia-Iran vs. Azerbaijan-Israel. The visits by Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu to Baku, Azerbaijan, and Iranian President Hassan Rouhani to Yerevan, Armenia in December, 2016 are indicative of the polarization. Where is Russia, the elephant in the room? What are the implications of the polarization for Russia? (PDF) Rahim Rahimov

Dodon’s visit to Transnistria: Russian-Backed Model for Protracted Conflicts Settlement?

It is highly unlikely that Russia will allow Transnistria again back into Moldova even if the latter accepts closer cooperation with Russia and/or integration with Russia-led organizations. However, Dodon’s policy towards Transnistria could be considered in Moscow as a favourable model for other protracted conflicts settlement. (PDF) Rusif Huseynov

Armenia and Russia Pursue Joint Military Forces

The Russo-Armenian agreement on establishing a joint military unit, which will include troops of the 102nd Russian military base stationed near Yerevan as well as the 4th Corps of the Armenian Army, predictably caused anxiety in Azerbaijan and Georgia. While a potential deterioration of relations with Georgia would undermine Armenia’s national interests, the government in Yerevan appears willing to make this sacrifice in the name of regime reproduction and survival. (PDF) Armen Grigoryan

Belarus: Situation In the Field of National Security and Defense as of September 2016

The defense ministries of Belarus and Azerbaijan signed a cooperation plan for 2017.   In New York, the Foreign Minister Vladimir Makey discuss with the U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense the issues of interaction and establishment of a direct dialogue between the military departments of the countries.   Almost all Belarus’ security agencies took part in the large-scale command post exercise. (PDF) Andrei Porotnikov

Положение в области национальной безопасности и обороны Беларуси: сентябрь 2016 г.

Оборонные ведомства Беларуси и Азербайджана подписали план сотрудничества на 2017 г.   В Нью-Йорке Министр иностранных дел Владимир Макей обсудил с заместителем Помощника Министра обороны США вопросы организации взаимодействия в военной сфере, налаживание прямого диалога между военными ведомствами.  В Беларуси прошло масштабное командно-штабное учение, в котором были задействованы практически все силовые ведомства страны. (PDF) Андрей Поротников

The ‘Four-Day War’ of April 2016 is Considered as an Important Victory in Azerbaijan

Territorial gains, military and moral victory should bring Azerbaijan additional advantages on the negotiation table, Azerbaijani experts and ordinary people think. How the April clash will influence the future Karabakh talks and to what extent Azerbaijani diplomats will be able to utilize its benefits are open questions. (PDF) Rusif Huseynov