Middle powers in a ruptured order: Why Poland and Ukraine matter for EU strategic autonomy

Ukraine and Poland, two Central and Eastern European states whose regional influence has often been underestimated, illustrate how middle powers can shape outcomes once reserved for great powers. Their further strengthening and success are crucial for Europe to achieve genuine strategic autonomy. (PDF) Maksym Khylko, Adam Reichardt

Why Waiting Out the Russia-Ukraine War May Not Buy NATO Safety

A protracted war does more than exhaust Russia – it reshapes the country’s economy, army, and politics in ways that will not easily reverse. That could make a clash with NATO more likely, not less – the opposite of what many Western officials assume. It is still cheaper to help Ukraine end the war now than to rely on its sacrifices to postpone a war for NATO. Weapons sitting in depots will not help Europe tomorrow if Ukraine does not hold out today. (PDF) Maksym Khylko, Oleksandr Tytarchuk

Ukraine in a World Without Rules

The world is entering a phase of neo-royalism – an era, where international rules no longer function, and security guarantees become just temporary arrangements. In such a world, survival depends not on who is right, but on who is needed. Taking this into account, it is suggested to consider a number of practical steps for Ukraine: how not to become a “trophy” of new global elites, how to preserve agency, and how to turn military strength, the economy, and diplomacy into instruments of survival and influence. (PDF) Oleksandr Tytarchuk

Explanatory potential of the postcolonial approach for understanding the Russia–Ukraine war

The 2022 full-scale Russia’s invasion of Ukraine exposed the limits of mainstream IR theories in explaining developments in Eastern Europe. This publication argues that a postcolonial approach helps explain both Russia’s aggressive behaviour and Ukraine’s desperate resistance by examining historical power relations, coloniser-colonised dichotomy, neocolonial practices, and the applicability of the concepts of the Other and Subaltern to Russian perceptions of Ukrainians. (PDF) Olena Khylko, Maksym Khylko

Navigating Uncertainty: Exit Strategies from the Temporary Protection of Ukrainian Refugees

The policy paper examines the challenge of moving from the Temporary Protection Directive to a durable solution for Ukrainian refugees. It proposes a sustainable approach that protects refugees while taking into account Ukraine’s aspirations amid ongoing uncertainty. While aimed mainly at decision makers, it also offers useful context for journalists and political experts on the future of Ukrainian refugees. (PDF) Olena Khylko, Malwina Talik

Navigating Global South’s Ambivalent Stance on Russia-Ukraine War

The publication reveals the complexity of the Global South’s stance on the Russia-Ukraine war within a broader context of a changing world order. It is explored how the positions of the Global South countries are influenced by their vision of own national interests, divergent perceptions of the causes and possible consequences of the war, and of the roles of the parties involved with regard to the prospects of reshaping the global system of international relations. (PDF) Maksym Khylko, Olena Khylko

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